2019 Pre-Oscars Movie Power Rankings

Hey everyone — here’s this year’s rendition of my annual movie rankings. Overall I think it was a pretty weak year full of average films, but there are a few gems in there toward the top.

As always, my opinions are fact and you’re wrong if you disagree. Just kidding, let me know what you think!

34. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

This is what happens when a studio rests on the lore and hard work of brilliant people before them, using a trusted brand to put out a thoroughly average, meh movie. The ninth and final chapter of the Skywalker saga (and the third and final chapter under the new Disney ownership) turned in a performance so predictable, unoriginal, and boring that it leaves serious doubts on if Disney will do the Star Wars universe justice or continue to put out average movies like Solo and Rise of Skywalker.

33. I Lost My Body

A depressing French love story between an orphan who works dead end jobs, a librarian who orders a pizza from the orphan, and the orphan’s severed hand, this film went over my head I think. The severed hand anthropomorphizes as a rat type thing that is on a mission to find the couple again, and there are a lot of themes that hit on the importance of your hands, like the orphan’s love of piano and his interest in carpentry. I don’t know; it was weird.

32. Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

The sequel to the everything-is-awesome original Lego Movie, this one lands less than the original. Focusing on a journey to a new world that seems too good to be true and that feels nefarious, we see Chris Pratt and the gang execute a narrative about sharing toys and embracing creativity and other ideas for fun. It was fine.

31. Detective Pikachu

The first big-budget Pokemon film outside of the Ash Ketchum canon (that I’m aware of), Detective Pikachu seems to be the first gamble from the Pokemon brand that they can also construct a universe of film content that can model what is already happening with Star Wars, Harry Potter, and the like. As someone who played Pokemon as a kid, the return to the universe is nostalgic and fun, but the plot itself doesn’t mimic the traditional Pokemon stories as instead we investigate the disappearance of a young man’s father, discovering he also shares a strange bond with a Pikachu (played by Ryan Reynolds). It’s an enjoyable movie, if not entirely groundbreaking.

30. Frozen II

The sequel to the massive hit from 2013, Frozen II brings back Anna, Elsa, Olaf, Sven, and Kristoff on a journey to visit the past and to unlock some family secrets. Sequels are hard and this felt a little formulaic since they likely felt like they needed to repeat some of what made them successful the first time. Still, there are some great songs in there and the message is great as always.

29. Toy Story 4

The fourth installment of the Toy Story franchise follows Woody and the gang as they move to a new kid’s home, learning how to love a new kid as much as Andy. While I don’t think it stuck with me as much as the previous ones, it still carries with it strong messages of love and helping others who need it.

28. Captain Marvel

Marvel’s final entry before Endgame, Captain Marvel introduces a badass, powerful superhero in Brie Larson’s self titled Captain Marvel. Having a movie about a female superhero is a win in itself, but to have her be a kick-ass pilot who also seems to be the most powerful avenger out there was a fun thing to witness as we saw some traditional twists and turns throughout the movie.

27. Spiderman: Far From Home

The first chapter of Spiderman after the Infinity saga, Far From Home sees Peter Parker on a school field trip to Europe, when his goal to make a move on his crush is put on hold when a new villain starts rampaging in Europe. Last year I loved Into The Spiderverse partially because it felt like it had to be animated, but Far From Home seemed to meet that challenge by saying that anything is possible to show if you use drones.

26. Missing Link

A British adventurer, who dreams of fame and fitting in with the upper echelon of society, seeks the famed Bigfoot in America only to learn that Bigfoot instead recruited him for a mission to go find his relatives, the Yetis in the Himalayas. Powered by fun performances from Hugh Jackman and Zach Galifianakis, this film offers a fun reminder that friends can come in all shapes and sizes. It also can be tied into today’s society by comparing the ruling class’s denial of evolution in the movie to today’s climate denialism. Putting your head in the sand (and intentionally silencing critics) is never a good look.

25. Klaus

The origin story we didn’t know we needed, Klaus explains the beginning of Santa Claus through the eyes of a spoiled aristocrat whose father forces him to be a postman in the furthest north island in the country. Welcomed by warring families with generations of hatred towards each other, the postman must drum up demand for letters or else he will be on the street when he returns home. Luckily, there’s an old, bearded man on the island who happens to enjoy making toys for kids who write to him. The postman builds the lore around Santa Claus for his own self-interest as the children in the town slowly change the attitudes of the town by helping others and doing everything to get on Santa’s ‘nice list’.

24. Dolemite Is My Name

I watched the whole movie and didn’t know it was based on a true story until the very end. This outrageous story follows a black singer-turned-comedian-turned-anything-that-will-earn-fame named Rudy Ray Moore as he skyrockets into fame through some vulgar comedy and eventually gambles on a self-made movie that white film executives don’t give a chance in hell. Eddie Murphy is excellent as the lead, and the shot-for-shot remakes of scenes from the real movie are spot on.

23. Midsommar

An A24 thriller set in a Swedish commune, Midsommar follows a few American anthropology students, including the guy from Black Mirror: Bandersnatch, Chidi from The Good Place, and the brother from Sing Street, as they go to Sweden to visit their Swedish friend Pelle’s village during their midsummer celebrations. Chalk full of foreboding symbolism and cultish themes, some of the shots are stunning but incredibly creepy.

22. Rocketman

This year’s edition of the jukebox musical biography covers the story of Elton John, played by the dynamic Taron Egerton. After the relative success of Bohemian Rhapsody and Rami Malek, I’m sure Egerton thought he was on his way to a best actor nomination, only to be crowded out by a particularly strong category this year. The film covers Elton struggling with his parents, falling into the drugs and sex associated with rock’n’roll, and floundering to figure out who exactly he is and how he can be happy. I never listened to Elton John much, but I definitely more of an appreciation for him after this.

21. Booksmart

A high school coming-of-age buddy comedy centered on two friends who are tired of being the do-good, bookworm, career-focused girls in class, Booksmart offers a rebellious night on the town for the two hilarious leads. Complete with confronting crushes, realizing that grades aren’t everything, and an awesome karaoke cover of You Oughta Know, it’s a non-stop barrage of jokes. The Malala joke in particular stuck with me.

20. El Camino

An epilogue to the critically acclaimed series Breaking Bad, El Camino picks up on Jesse Pinkman (Aaron Paul) after the events of the show. Director Vince Gilligan brilliantly lays out the events for Pinkman since we’ve last seen him, using non-linear storytelling to show how Pinkman finds himself in an awful situation yet again and trying to escape from the meth industry. With cameos from a number of Breaking Bad characters, including Walter White (Bryan Cranston), it’s a great return to that universe. I’m not sure how accessible it is to folks who haven’t seen the show, but I still thoroughly enjoyed it.

19. Avengers Endgame

The conclusion to the Infinity saga, Endgame runs for a full three hours, but it really needs it as the Avengers have to travel back to previous times and eras to reverse the events in Infinity War. A dramatic romp through previous movies and with a weird cameo from a fantasy football analyst, the saga ends on a high note, but not without some causalities and some changes. While this film on it’s own wasn’t as compelling as Infinity War, it still represents a remarkable, decade-long commitment to this story and a brilliant corporate gamble that this would be worth it. They proved that films living within a universe can work to great effect.

18. The Last Black Man in San Francisco

A sad, relevant window into gentrification and the racial wealth gap, this film centers on the story of a third-generation black man in San Francisco named Jimmy Fails. Illustrating the difficulties black Americans face across the country, we see how intergenerational wealth perpetuates white privilege. Jimmy adores a house his grandfather built and will do everything possible to hold onto it, even doing the upkeep against the owner’s wishes. My favorite movie about Bay Area gentrification is Blindspotting from last year, but A24s entry this year is still worth the watch.

17. Ad Astra

Every year there seems to be one space-based blockbuster drama. This year’s entry is Ad Astra starring Brad Pitt as an astronaut in the not too distant future where commercial flights are offered to the moon, countries warred over precious resources in the Arctic Circle, and the USA established a base on Mars. Literally following in his father’s footsteps, Pitt ends up journeying out to Neptune to track down his father, who ventured out on a one way mission to find extra terrestrial life. I loved the build up of the movie, and the world-building was fascinating. But the actual encounter with his father and the resulting resolution of the ‘surge’ and ET plotlines underwhelmed me, and too often Pitt’s narration turned subtext unnecessarily into text. Regardless, it was a fun escape for a few hours.

16. Once Upon A Time In… Hollywood

Quentin Tarantino’s latest production offers a(nother) nostalgic look back to old Hollywood and how things used to work. It follows Rick Dalton (Leonardo DiCaprio) and his former stunt double and best friend Cliff Booth (Brad Pitt) as Rick’s career spirals down and then back up through various acting gigs. But in the background of the film is a subplot that slowly takes over the film, following a group of kids living on a ranch. Without spoiling anything, I’ll just say I wasn’t very taken by this movie. I enjoy most Tarantino films, but this one felt repetitive in its nostalgic look back on the 60s/70s in Hollywood (reminiscent of Green Book‘s nostalgia, though less of a racial nostalgia, and La La Land, though less compelling). I also just think I missed some required reading before watching the movie. I’m pretty it’s supposed to be about a story I’m supposed to know, but I didn’t know it.

15. The Two Popes

Anthony Hopkins plays Pope Benedict XVI while Jonathan Pryce (known to me primarily as the High Sparrow from Game of Thrones) plays his successor, Pope Francis, in this beautiful film that follows the events from 2005 to 2014 that led to two papal elections in short succession. Coming at Catholicism from different ideologies and belief systems, the bulk of the film focuses on the dialog between the two popes on everything from theology to football. Jonathan Pryce, who got a best actor nomination for this, pulls off a brilliant performance and shows how a man with strong convictions and belief can change even an institution as rigid as the Vatican.

14. The Edge of Democracy

Over the past 5 years or so, Brazil’s government encountered partisan turmoil that acts as a microcosm of what we’re seeing in a number of countries: a resurgent right-wing supremacy movement vs a workers-rights leftist party. Popular leftist president Lula and his successor, Dilma, faced investigations from a conservative judge on the influence of dark money on their time in office. They titled the investigation, “Operation Car Wash”. A conservative majority in Congress plus a conservative VP waiting in the wings to seize power meant that the conservatives succeeded in impeaching Dilma and imprisoning Lula without any firm evidence of wrongdoing but instead arguing that the opposition’s politics were impeachable on its own. This incredibly dangerous maneuver resulted in the conservatives controlling all branches of government, only for the VP (now president) to be directly connected to dark money interests from Brazilian corporations. But this time, his party wasn’t so gung ho about impeachment. Brazen partisanship has resulted in gutting of social programs, like Bolsa Familia (a famous conditional cash transfer program), and austerity for Brazilians in poverty. The ultra wealthy waged a war on the classes beneath them and walked away unscathed. Today, Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro frequently compares himself to Trump, and he has the capitalist kingmakers to thank for his office. This is a very prescient film to watch in the midst of the 2020 primary — Democrats (and centrists who don’t support far right policies!) must band together to defeat Donald Trump. Other countries look to us for guidance, and we cannot let them down again by empowering far-right nationalism to entrench itself further.

13. The Lighthouse

Two seafaring men (Willem Dafoe and Robert Pattinson in two fantastic performances) charged with upkeep and maintenance for a lighthouse battle the elements, superstition, social isolation, and each other to try to remain same. Shot in black and white, this thriller from A24 has you uneasy the whole time. Dafoe in particular excels with his perfect, sailor dialect and his big pipe, while Pattinson descends into hysteria more and more. It’s definitely not a movie for everyone, but I like the gamble from A24.

12. Ford v Ferrari

Christian Bale excels at playing neurotic geniuses who focus intently on one thing. We saw it in The Big Short, and now he’s done it again in Ford v Ferrari. Playing Ken Miles, an obsessive racecar driver in the 1960s, he teams up with Carroll Shelby (Matt Damon), a former driver himself who makes a deal with Ford Motor Company to get them into racing and to beat Ferrari at a landmark race in France. Damon and Bale work well together, and it is refreshing to see Bale back in a British accent (as I didn’t know he was Welsh until a few years ago). With a plot centered around this big race, car company rivalries, and bureaucratic hang-ups, it feels like a classic sports movie, and it had me laughing with adrenaline pumping during some of the race scenes.

11. American Factory

President Obama’s production company created this documentary that follows a new automobile glass factory that opened up in Dayton, Ohio. The Chinese company Fuyao received plaudits from everyone for investing in Ohio, but when the factory isn’t performing as well as the Chinese plants, tensions rise as the Americans try to unionize (partially thanks to Senator Sherrod Brown). These jobs offered a lifeline to these American workers, but the working conditions and benefits are far worse than when GM had a plant in town. It’s hard not to think of globalization, income inequality, the ruthlessness of capitalism, and how worker’s rights vary so widely around the world, which grants an advantage to companies like Fuyao who pay very little for workers in China who have only a day or two off each month and are drilled like a military unit to optimize efficiency. Until there is a global floor on worker’s rights, I struggle to see how American manufacturing can compete internationally. Unless you’re a country like Finland, where 90% of the workforce is unionized and there’s a reinforced culture of unionizing, it’s hard to make it work for workers in all sectors. And that’s not even getting into the fact that automation is replacing jobs at a rapid pace each year. This is partially why I support a basic income, because it grants workers more power to say no to jobs like this and divorces someone’s ability to survive from whether they have a job or not. To ensure better working conditions for all, we need to enact serious, seismic legislation to ensure worker’s rights (and nonworkers’ rights) are protected in an increasingly precarious economy. But really this story is one that we’ve seen all too often — a wealthy corporation can invest millions to fight a vote by regular people that would hurt their profits. We saw this in my hometown with a vote on municipalization of our grid, when Alliant Energy spent dozens of times more money campaigning than our local pro-municipalization group. They won by less than ten votes.

10. Us

Jordan Peele followed up Get Out with this horror film that sees people confronted by an uprising of upside-down, inverse versions of themselves. Led by a terrific performance from Lupita Nyongo, it leaves you with dozens of questions and realizations well after you’ve left the theater. Strong themes of racism and politics pervade the film, but I don’t think it lands as well as it did in Get Out.

9. Little Women

Greta Gerwig’s adaptation of Louisa May Alcott’s book by the same name offers a star studded cast with Saoirse Ronan, Emma Watson, Florence Pugh, Laura Dern, Timothée Chalamet, and Bob Odenkirk. It follows four sisters as they grow up with different ambitions and goals in an era when society saw marriage as the only economic and logical option for women of their age. You can’t help but love this family who puts others first and it’s frankly refreshing to see a good movie about good people doing good things in the age of the antihero.

8. Joker

The gripping, gritty origin story of Batman’s enemy, Joker is a well-produced, well-directed film that grounds one man’s transformation from a working clown and caregiver with a mental illness to a fully fledged villain. Hitting on themes of child abuse, child neglect, income inequality, social anxiety, and many more, we see the titular character slowly descend into an antisocial person (who honestly might be an incel) who starts acting out and descends into nihilism. The film is absolutely right to call out the dangers of cuts to mental health programs and the power dynamics at play in society between the wealthy and the working class. Joaquin Phoenix is simply brilliant, acting with such raw but complicated emotion, and it’s no surprise to me that he’s a best actor nominee and that he won that category at the Golden Globes. In a vacuum, it’s a great movie. However, it’s hard to look past the message it seems to be sending. Suggesting that folks feeling left behind in society today, and especially those with mental illnesses, will inevitably walk down a path towards antisocial behavior is dangerous and misleading, and the glorification and justification of this destructive behavior leaves me with a bad taste in my mouth.

7. The Irishman

Scorsese’s 3.5 hour return to mob/gangster storytelling brings back the all-star cast of Pacino, Pesci, and De Niro reprising their prototypical roles in the New York and Chicago mob and union scenes during the 60s. While reminiscent of Goodfellas with the fast talking dialog and the constant 50s/60s music in the background, it asks bigger questions of what this life does to your families and how you live with yourself after a lifetime in such a violent profession.

6. Knives Out

What if you took a whodunnit plot, centered it on a famous mystery genre author, and added Daniel Craig as a detective talking in a wild Southern accent? Knives Out offers a fun, twisty journey through the death of the patriarchal grandfather author, offering motives and clues throughout for who may be responsible for his death. I don’t want to spoil any of the plot, but it felt like a very well-designed murder mystery party that highlighted the absurdity of privilege and inheritance.

5. Marriage Story

A vivid look into a divorce, Marriage Story follows a certified genius, controlling theater director (Adam Driver) and his star actress wife (Scarlett Johansen) as they agree to separate. Laura Dern arrives as a divorce attorney, delivering a performance straight out of her Big Little Lies wheelhouse, and the film highlights the difficult, harsh nature of divorce proceedings once lawyers are weaponized. The standout scene to me is the fight in Driver’s LA apartment as the couple fully descends into insults and vulgarity after trying to sort things out themselves, like they originally intended. While a slightly self-indulgent, romanticized view of theater and acting, it still proves a great film and a great look into modern love and relationship dynamics.

4. Jojo Rabbit

A quirky, absurd film about a boy (Jojo) in Hitler’s Youth in Nazi Germany finding and befriending a Jewish girl who his mom is hiding in the attic, Taika Waititi’s newest film packs multiple genres into two hours. Waititi plays Jojo’s imaginary version of Hitler with comedic flamboyance and over-the-top acting, but the movie takes serious turns and hits dramatic plot points, ushered forward by performances from Scarlett Johansson and Sam Rockwell. This was easily one of the funniest movies of the year.

3. Uncut Gems

Adam Sandler? In a serious role as a sports gambling addict, New York jeweler? And Kevin Garnett, the NBA star, as a main character? This feels like a movie that should never have been made, but A24 turns in a fantastic film yet again. Centering on an uncut gemstone from a mine in Africa that obsesses Kevin Garnett during the 2012 Eastern Conference Finals, we see Sandler’s character uneasily go through this period in a loveless marriage and in a serious chunk of debt to someone who doesn’t mess around. This uncut gem is his best chance to cash out and make everything okay, and during the movie the circular, rotating camerawork keeps you glued to the screen with a sense of dread, waiting for one of his gambles to go wrong. An adrenaline-pumping thriller, it leaves you connecting plot devices hours after the movie, and it’s one of the best movies of the year.

2. Parasite

This stunning, genre-bending story of a poor Korean family slowly but surely profiting off of relationships with a wealthy family is easily one of the best movies of the year. Full of commentary on income inequality, capitalism, and copious plays on the ‘parasite’ theme, the film explores the lifestyle differences and the inherent caste system of capitalism. It’s at its best as you see the lengths poor people have to go to try to earn a living, and right when you think it may fall into a mystical bootstraps lesson, it turns that on its face, showing how hard it can be to have a plan to escape poverty and then execute on it. I laughed, I gasped, I got chills — this film has it all, and the garden party scene will stick with me for a long time.

1. 1917

Two young British soldiers in World War I are given a nearly impossible task to deliver an order to another battalion to prevent a massacre. Directed and shot in a way such that every scene follows the soldiers on their journey with a single shot style, this is a cinematic masterpiece. It honestly feels a little like a video game mission as you control your character through different levels on a quest — the level in the German bunker, the level with the plane crash, the night level in the French town; this film is brilliantly shot and the scenes stick with you well after the film ends. I also absolutely loved the scene of the British soldier singing “Poor Wayfaring Stranger” as his company prepares for battle. That scene on the front lines of the battle caused chills and you can’t help but feel for the dedicated soldier stopping at nothing to prevent his fellow soldiers from falling into a trap. I enjoy war movies, but it takes a special war movie to be my favorite of the year. 1917 manages that feat, and it absolutely must be seen in a theater to fully immerse yourself in the imagery and the sound of war. Surely this will win Best Picture.

 

 

 

 

 

Caucus Power Rankings: #1 Elizabeth Warren

Hey all,

Here’s our final edition of the Caucus Power Rankings. As a reminder, here’s where we landed:

  • 1: Elizabeth Warren
  • 2: Bernie Sanders
  • T-3: Andrew Yang
  • T-3: Pete Buttigieg
  • T-5: Amy Klobuchar
  • T-5: Tom Steyer
  • 7: Joe Biden
  • 8: Michael Bennett
  • 9: Deval Patrick
  • T-10: Tulsi Gabbard
  • T-10: Mike Bloomberg
  • 12: John Delaney

Arguments For:

Josh — #1 — Back in 2016, when Bernie Sanders announced he was running for president, I remember thinking, “Oh nice! He’s great. I still hope Warren runs, though.” I have been a Warren fan since her work on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau and her appearance on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart in 2012. A girl who grew up in Oklahoma with three brothers who served in the military, Warren dreamed of becoming a teacher. Later on, she discovered law and worked her way through a few law professor jobs until she landed eventually at Harvard Law, teaching law and specializing on bankruptcy law. Throughout that journey, Warren researched what was preventing American families from financial security, an area of research that led to a transformation from identifying as a Republican to becoming a progressive advocate for consumer’s rights.

In the wake of the Great Recession of 2009, Warren relentlessly fought for the creation of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a governmental agency watchdog that would punish banks and other for-profit institutions on behalf of consumers who don’t have the time or resources to fight these behemoths themselves. Obama wanted Warren to lead the agency, but in an ironic twist, Republicans fought against her appointment so vociferously that she ended up running for Senate instead and defeated incumbent Republican Scott Brown. So instead of having Warren running an agency, now these Republicans had to deal with her fighting spirit and her relentless focus on helping everyday Americans.

Since her evolution from Republican to Democrat, Warren now stands as one of the most progressive Democrats in elected office, and her 2020 platform says as much. The rallying cry of the Warren campaign is, “I’ve got a plan for that.” As you would expect from a researcher and professor, Warren excels in detailing out exactly how she will improve America. Farhad Manjoo from the NY Times said it well when he wrote a piece titled I want to live in Elizabeth Warren’s America. Among her detailed proposals are plans to break up big tech, address the opioid epidemic, fight maternal mortality, combat climate change (with a $2 trillion price tag), introduce a wealth tax on the wealthiest Americans, introduce universal child care, Medicare-for-All, and many, many more. Go check out her policy page and click around. You have to scroll to see all of her plans, and then on each plan you have to scroll more to actually read them all! She’s thorough, detailed, and ready to enact big, structural change when she gets into office.

Warren’s top priority is to fight corruption in politics and in industry, and I find her argument compelling. Right now, Democrats face uphill battles to win the Presidency (due to the Electoral College disproportionately valuing rural states), the Senate (because of geography of Democratic/Republican support, the House (because of geography and gerrymandering), and the Supreme Court (because the Senate and Presidency must both be held by the same party to appoint a new justice), and these challenges are exacerbated by the revolving door of congressmen and lobbyists as well as a number of ways that sustain this unhealthy stasis in Washington. Read the highlights of her plan here — if Democrats want to make progress on making elections fairer and if we want to re-balance our political system, then we need to address the systemic corruption in Washington first. As for fighting corruption in the economy, Warren lays out a robust plan to make capitalism work better. Please read through it. If we truly want to make an economy that works for all instead of the shareholder capitalism we see today, we should fight for her ideas of ensuring worker representation on corporate boards and to prevent CEOs from profiting off of stock buy-back programs that inflate their pay. Warren’s critique of America is that we need to fix the corruption we see in government and in industry first, and then we will have a chance to tackle more issues as well once the deck is stacked more fairly for the average American.

I also believe that Warren stands the best chance of uniting the Democratic Party. I’ll be interested to see how the raw totals of the first votes and final alignment on caucus night go, because I believe Warren is a lot of peoples’ second choice. My progressive friends are almost all Warren or Bernie supporters, and no other candidate (other than Yang) offers a chance at progressive unity behind a candidate, while she is also friendly enough to the mainstream Democrats that she could get the Biden/Hillary wing of the party to support her as well. We see this potential to unite the party in the endorsements from the NY Times and the Des Moines Register. As I wrote in the Bernie piece yesterday, we need all Democrats to get in line behind our nominee so that we can all focus on defeating Trump, who is sitting there waiting for a nominee to bully while sitting on an insane war chest of campaign fundraising. Warren gives us the best chance to unite and take him down. And with that Democratic unity comes those coattails that will help us win the Senate and keep the House. Then, with those anti-corruption plans in place after her first two years in office, the deck will be stacked more fairly to help Democrats retain their seats in line with their actual vote totals, instead of having to win the popular vote by 6 points nationwide to win the House.

Further, I believe Warren is the best equipped to take on Trump. Having her roots in Oklahoma and having her brothers serve in the military, she can speak to the middle of America with more authenticity than Trump, and with her campaign’s focus on income inequality and having billionaires pay their fair share, she can turn the election into a billionaire who has profited off of and has contributed to the corruption we deal with today versus literally anyone else. Framing the election as are you on the side of the billionaire or on the side of everyone else will be an effective message that can win back those Obama-Trump voters and can drum up the turnout we need to sweep the election.

Sam — #1

Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren has long been seen as one of the greatest champions of progressive causes at the federal level. While her ascent to the US Senate has provided her with experience professionally, administratively, and politically, Senator Warren’s background provides the human element that so many look for in a great candidate.

Born in the working class in Oklahoma, Senator Warren grew up in a family with three older brothers who all served in the military. During her youth, Warren’s father had a heart attack and had to quit his job as a salesman due to the permanent disability it left him with. While he was able to get a new job as a janitor, Warren notes how the economic struggles for her family left an indelible mark on her. Her dream to become a teacher took a couple detours when she first got married and had to drop out of college to raise her children. After going back to school and then earning a law degree, Warren became one of the leading law professors in her field, eventually earning a position at Harvard teaching bankruptcy law. Her research gave her deeply personal experience “in the weeds” of economic struggle, with the plurality of cases resulting from the cost of healthcare.

In 2008, as the Great Recession deepened, Warren was appointed to a US Senate panel to provide oversight for the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act. Through her professional experience and time in the Senate oversight panel, Warren proposed the creation of a new Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). The bureau, which was signed into law in 2010, was tasked with learning lessons from the Recession to protect consumers in the financial sector in a host of fields, ranging from banks and securities firms to payday lenders, mortgage servicing operators, and providing foreclosure relief. While Warren would have been the perfect choice to head the CFPB (after all she created the bureau), Republicans believed she would be over zealous made it clear Warren would not receive approval from the Senate. Warren would thwart the GOP’s attempted to prevent her molding of policy by beating incumbent Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown in 2012 and becoming the leading progressive in the Senate.

Senator Warren’s campaign reflects her progressive policy commitments. From the beginning, Warren has refused to accept corporate donations, relying entirely on grassroots support from small donors. However, its Warren’s policy proposals that have become the cornerstone or her campaign. With one of her favorite slogans “I’ve got a plan for that,” Warren appears to be the most extensively prepared candidate in the field. Her website’s section on plans are broken into the larger policy proposals, including tackling corruption, strengthening democracy, creating Medicare-for-All, rebuilding the middle class, and supporting a Green New Deal. Within each of these groups you will notice 10-20 subsection plans, providing a thorough breakdown of each subsection element and how it addresses the larger problem. Warren will rebuild the middle class by implementing her famous 2-cent wealth tax. Her explanation for this wealth tax is brilliant and simple, noting that for every dollar someone makes over $50 million, they’re simply asked to pitch in 2 cents. I hardly think they’ll suffer.

Warren has the best ability to unify the party, bringing together the establishment from her time in the Obama administration and the Senate with progressives and activists that drive the progressive agenda and grassroots campaign infrastructure. Warren’s focus on working and middle class struggles from her upbringing and own experience in the heartland give her authenticity that Trump will never have. Her fervent belief of having the wealthy pay their fair share of taxes again to give those in the middle class the opportunity get to live the American dream: get an education, advance in their profession, and receive the economic gains that have eluded the middle class since the 1970s. Lastly, her emphasis of rooting out corruption stands in stark contrast to Trump’s promises to drain the swamp that have ironically lead to the most corrupt administration in modern history.

Arguments Against:

Josh — Looking at polling, Warren took a big hit in the fall of 2019 after she faced questions on how to pay for Medicare-for-All. She responded by producing a costing scheme that doesn’t raise taxes on the middle class by one penny, but the damage had been done by Mayor Pete and Warren hasn’t regained momentum since then. She excelled in the summer last year as she was releasing plan after plan, but there are only so many plans to release, and as the electability question played a larger role on voters’ minds this winter, she seemed to take a hit as people lazily compare her to Hillary and worry that nominating a woman will again result in a Trump win. But Warren is not Hillary — she’s far more progressive and isn’t currently under investigation. Besides, Hillary won the popular vote and should have won in 2016, so there’s no reason why Warren can’t perform as well if not better than Clinton.

Warren also gets critiqued for sounding a condescending school teacher with her speaking style, which to me sounds like flagrant sexism that should have no place in this primary. We never heard this critique about former professor Obama.

I know I have refuted arguments against Warren so far, but I do have areas that I am concerned about. While she says she’s open to a universal basic income, I would love to see her include it in her plan to transform America’s economy. And I do worry that she and her staff take the bait too often on attacks, like the leak of the Bernie/Warren tape last month after the Bernie campaign supposedly told volunteers to say that Warren only appeals to white, educated voters. She also bit too hard on the Trump Pocahontas bullshit (sorry Mom, couldn’t think of a better word) by producing the DNA test and playing his game. She needs to stay above those attacks and reorient everything back to income inequality, corruption, and her vision for America.

Sam — First off, I want to restate what Josh noted regarding the Warren “condescending school teacher” critique. This is flagrant sexism that doesn’t have a home in this primary, the progressive movement, the Democratic party, and in American politics and society.

Warren’s biggest struggle has come from her implementation plan for her version of Medicare-for-All. Frankly, I’m not sure how this is a fair critique considering her plan is more flushed out that Bernie’s version and is projected to cost less. Additionally, the media has had a fixation on the price tag of the Medicare-for-All plans while completely ignoring the cost savings for Americans. Will you pay more in taxes? For Warren’s plan, some will but lower and middle class earners won’t. But everyone will no longer pay health insurance premiums, copays, or deductibles. Whether its fair or not, Warren’s polling numbers have taken a hit beginning in Fall 2019 after unveiling her healthcare plan.

Now, staking out the progressive policy of Medicare-For-All can be viewed as a argument against Warren and Bernie. I can understand preferring a government-provided public option that competes with all the private healthcare insurance options out there. But the argument for supporting Medicare-for-All, even if you’re fine with a public option that doesn’t utilize one government plan for all, is that it gives Democrats a better starting position to negotiate from when developing healthcare policy. While I go back and forth between Medicare-for-All and a public option and which would be better, the argument against the cost of Medicare-for-All is legitimate, and will take a lot of political capital and time that cannot be regained.

I would also agree with Josh’s critique that Warren’s campaign has taken the bait twice. Taking a DNA test to address Trump’s “Pocahontas” racism was not the right answer. Her campaign would have been better off rising above it and throwing down more plans to address income inequality and stuck to the issues. Additionally, the recent feud with the Bernie has created additional division amongst the progressive activist wing. I think that Bernie missed the opportunity to take responsibility for any comments that may have been perceived as saying a woman can’t beat Trump, even if he never intended to say that. We all make mistakes and sometimes our communications can be misconstrued. I think both campaigns seemed to think there was opportunity in doubling down. The best way forward is for Warren’s team to refocus their efforts on the purpose of the campaign: addressing income inequality, fighting corruption, passing a Green New Deal, and implementing every plan in the Warren tool belt.

Final Thoughts

So that’s it. 12 posts in 12 days to break down the candidates in the Democratic primary. I hope you all have found these helpful, and I encourage you to reach out to us if you have any specific questions on the candidates. To my Iowa friends in particular, I cannot stress how important it is to caucus today. Witnessing the 2008 caucus was one of the most formative nights of my life, and being a part of the 2016 caucus was a thrill. When you go to the caucus today, remember to be Iowa nice and to be friendly with everyone else there who is supporting another candidate. We need to support each other and come together after this primary. That’s why Sam and I chose to format these posts with arguments for and against each candidate; we tried to be objective and helpful, and hopefully these posts have helped you make up your mind and we hope you support your favorite candidate tonight. This is the chance to vote for your favorite candidate, and it doesn’t have to be who you think is most electable. A person is only electable if they 1) win the primary and 2) win the general, so by definition all of these candidates or all but one will be unelectable. If you vote for who you like the most, and if others do the same and agree with you, then your favorite candidate may be electable. Happy caucus night, Iowa.

Caucus Power Rankings: #2 Bernie Sanders

Hey all,

Here’s our next edition of the Caucus Power Rankings. As a reminder, here’s where we are right now:

  • 2: Bernie Sanders
  • T-3: Andrew Yang
  • T-3: Pete Buttigieg
  • T-5: Amy Klobuchar
  • T-5: Tom Steyer
  • 7: Joe Biden
  • 8: Michael Bennett
  • 9: Deval Patrick
  • T-10: Tulsi Gabbard
  • T-10: Mike Bloomberg
  • 12: John Delaney

Arguments For:

Sam — #2 — It was early spring 2015. The field was beginning to form to determine the Democratic party’s next candidate for president. For the most part Hillary was seen as the only candidate worth watching unless Vice President Joe Biden joined the race. A little known senator from Vermont had announced his intentions to run in summer of 2014 and had started to gain some publicity for his policies and the crowds he was drawing. I remember reading news articles thinking, “this Bernie Sanders guy sounds like the New Deal in modern form, and he looks about 10 years younger than the New Deal too!” It didn’t fully hit me that Bernie was officially on the scene until a rally in Madison, Wisconsin, in July 2015 drew over 8,000 people. While many who were otherwise of the belief that Hillary was the only logical option for moderate or progressive Democrats, it was clear that Bernie had the ability to bring progressive issues to the forefront: achieving universal healthcare coverage, tackling big pharmaceutical companies, taking on the big trusts of the countless sectors of the economy, and seriously addressing climate change. The progressive wing had its candidate, and they went whole hog. The energy of his campaign continued to build, leading to a near tie in Iowa and a 20+ point victory over Hillary in New Hampshire. While the 2016 campaign ultimately was unsuccessful for Bernie, Trump’s victory left the door open for him to have one more shot at realizing his political revolution.

Now in 2020, Bernie has become the undisputed standard bearer of the progressive wing of the party, maintaining his consistent progressive campaign message and continuing the call for a political revolution that he has had since he first entered in politics as the Mayor of Burlington in the 1980s. His policy platform, since the 2016 campaign, has been his greatest asset. Additionally, his ability to garner support amongst his grassroots base has resulted in a pivot back towards progressive policies that the Democratic party has not seen since the 1970s, and has not successfully implemented since the 1960s.

Bernie’s progressive policies tend to lean populist as well, helping him truly connect with the working class and labor forces in a way that Democrats have struggled to do. His strong support of collective bargaining, Medicare-for-All, increasing the minimum wage to $15/hour, and systemically addressing income inequality by making the millionaires and billionaires pay their fair share of taxes have created many fully-committed Bernie supports from the masses of working class voters yearning for true, populist progressive change. In addition to the aforementioned populist policies, increasing funding for public education and reducing the roll of voucher programs, free college, increasing funding and management of natural resource conservation, and aggressively investing in renewable energy to combat climate change has created a grassroots army that continues to have a presence nationally without taking any corporate money or super pac funding. With the drive to bring out first-time voters and scoop up Obama-Trump voters who want to see change that helps the government work for the people, Bernie’s campaign is currently firing on all cylinders. If his momentum continues, we could see the most progressive presidential candidate since LBJ and FDR.

Josh — #2 — In 2016, I was fully aboard the Bernie bandwagon. Faced with a choice between Hillary and Bernie, it was a no-brainer for me to support Bernie. In fact, at the 2016 caucus, I gave the speech at our precinct to lay out the case for Bernie. What I said then still resonates today. From Bernie’s time as Mayor of Burlington to his time in the House and now in the Senate, Bernie Sanders has consistently stood on the right side of history. A vocal critic of the war in Iraq and an unabashed supporter of economic and racial justice, Bernie is proud to be a democratic socialist, and he is the reason why so many progressive policies (Medicare-for-All, free college, etc) are now mainstream in the party. I know many (often older) voters cringe at the ‘socialist’ word after decades of attacks from the right on communism during the cold war, but communism is different than socialism, and socialism is different than democratic socialism. Democratic socialism maintains a democratic government while encouraging the government to play a larger role in regulating and/or operating sectors of the economy that put profits above the well-being of society. There are some sectors that are too important to leave to the private sector alone — areas like education, health care, criminal justice — and democratic socialists advocate for a restructuring of these sectors to improve the outcomes of the average person. I like to think of democratic socialism as the logical conclusion of Rawl’s maximin principle, where you can (and should!) permit inequality only insofar as it maximizes the well-being of the worst off in society (the minimum).

While Bernie seems like an anomaly politically, he’s not. As he’s quick to point out, every other major country in the world provides health care as a human right, and indeed many countries have entire parties that adhere to democratic socialism, and those countries consistently perform better than the US on key metrics like life expectancy, infant mortality, and happiness. When Democrats say we want democratic socialism it means we want to model our government more like a Nordic country, not like the USSR. It is frankly idiotic American exceptionalism to believe that we cannot learn from other countries and adopt the best of breed social policies from other countries to improve our country’s well-being, yet that is too often the rhetoric of Republicans and Democrats. Hillary in 2016 jumps to mind, when she said in a debate, “Well, we’re not Denmark. We’re the United States of America.”

I will say, however, that American democratic socialists face an uphill battle. The countries that successfully enacted democratic socialist policies consist of significantly more homogeneous populations and cultural solidarity than we do in America. To achieve the same policies in America means establishing that solidarity across the wide variety of cultures and backgrounds that make up our melting pot. America took a big gamble as a new nation by self-defining as a country of immigrants, inherently saying that we will create a society that accepts you, no matter where you come from. Establishing democratic socialism in America would be an astounding accomplishment that flies in the face of critiques of multiculturalism. But we’re an exceptional country, right? So let’s go for it.

Apologies for the digression on democratic socialism, but to get back to Bernie, another major thing going for him is his fundraising model. While almost every politician spends multiple hours per day on the phone calling wealthy donors to beg for contributions to fund their campaigns, Bernie proved in 2016 that a fully grassroots, no-wealthy-donors approach can work and can out-raise traditional candidates with traditional fundraising strategies. His 2020 campaign built on 2016’s success and is now an unstoppable juggernaut of consistent contributions that frequently surpasses all other candidates’ fundraising quarters. His fundraising base also has a tendency to churn out blitzed donations whenever there is an attack on Bernie’s campaign. For example, an anti-Bernie Super PAC recently released an ad that questions Bernie’s fitness for the presidency after the heart attack he suffered a few months ago, and in response his base raised over $1 million in retaliation. Going through a primary and a general election campaign, that pattern of fundraising off of opponents’ attacks will prove a valuable tool for Bernie, turning any criticism into a turn-out-the-base rallying cry.

Bernie’s campaign also is taking an Obama-esque approach to the primary, as they are focused on turning out first-time caucus-goers and expanding the electorate. Bernie performs second (behind Biden) with people of color in the primary, and they are organizing like crazy for the Hispanic population in particular. I also think it’s worth mentioning that he got the endorsement of the rockstar progressive icon Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. AOC is the next great American progressive hope, and she has done a fantastic job deputizing for Bernie while he has been in Washington for the impeachment. In recent polling, Bernie (of course) dominates with voters 18-34, but he also leads with people up to age 64! Once you hit 65 the voters prefer Biden, but the lazy stories of Bernie Bros and how he’s only a candidate for young people are way off pace. Bernie appeals to a lot of voters that the Democratic establishment has historically ignored, and it’s showing in these polls in the run-up to the caucus. As of now, it looks like Bernie will win, comfortably, on Monday night.

So if you believe in coattails and wanting a candidate that will also energize and turn out a base that can elect senators and house representatives and other offices up and down the ballot, Bernie has a strong case to be that candidate. His inclusive campaign rhetoric (not me, us) and his emphasis of the need for a political revolution can provide those coattails to lead Democrats to victory.

Arguments Against:

Sam — Since 2015, some of the diehard supporters among Bernie’s base have a problem. Not a made up, social media creation. While the “Bernie bro” troupe has been used over and over, the fact that many base supports for Bernie have a “Bernie or bust” mentality in 2016 that, fairly or not, appeared sexist as well as antithetical to ends of enacting the populist progressive policies Bernie championed: we cannot have progressive federal policy without progressives in control of policy. Now, Bernie does not get enough credit for the support he provided for Hillary in 2016, but the image amongst his supporters still continued. Additionally, some of these fissures have reappeared this year during the “feud” between Elizabeth Warren and Bernie during the last debate before the Iowa Caucus. Bernie’s grassroots supporters are the strength of his campaign, but at times they also appear to be a potential weakness for the progressive policies he holds so dear. Its hard for primary voters to understand how so many Bernie supporters in social media have completely dismissed the idea of supporting Warren as their second candidate, considering Warren is the second most progressive candidate. This has some beginning to worry that, for some dedicated supports, their backing of Bernie verges on a cult of personality: the idea that Bernie can do no wrong. The comparison to Trump’s extreme cult of personality following is ironic to say the least.

Lastly, Bernie’s seem to be planned out at a slightly higher level than Warren’s plans. Bernie’s commitment to maintaining his main, broad talking points lead to a small level of weakness here. While his progressive policies are surely planned out, they do not seem to be as implementation-ready compared to Warren’s plans for anything and everything.

Josh — Like it or not, Bernie (and more specifically, his supporters) have an image problem. Establishment Democrats still blame him and his supporters for the loss in 2016 for not getting in line. And to refute that point, it’s frankly ridiculous and absurd to accuse Bernie of losing the election for Hillary. He cast the final vote at the convention! He did over 35 rallies for Hillary! He encouraged all of his supporters to vote for her! Bernie voters got in line just as much as Hillary voters got in line for Obama in 2008, and it’s lazy blame avoidance from establishment Democrats that are bitter than anyone dared challenge Hillary for the nomination. Also, now Hillary and Biden are refusing to commit to backing Bernie if he wins the nomination. The sheer hypocrisy of this is laughable. Basically, only progressives have to commit to backing moderates if we lose the nomination. This is why people hate the establishment and the DNC. But we can only live in this world with this DNC, so that animosity between the Bernie camp and the establishment may lead to more self-flagellation instead of a solidarity and a group focus on Trump. No matter who the candidate is after the primary, all Democrats need to support our candidate against Trump, but for now, friendly competition is healthy as long as it remains friendly, and you should vote for your favorite candidate in the caucus/primary.

I will say, however, that the cult of personality around Bernie worries me. His stans on Twitter stop at nothing to demean and destroy anyone who dares to criticize Bernie. We saw this with the Warren/Bernie debacle from a few weeks ago where (a vocal, small, but loud portion of) Bernie Twitter immediately began smearing Warren as a liar, a traitor, and a snake. I fear what will happen if Bernie gets elected and then makes a mistake in office — maybe a policy he passes isn’t as progressive as he’d promised, or he isn’t able to get anything major through Congress in his first two years. Are these Bernie supporters ready for Bernie to disappoint them? Or is that even possible? I really liked President Obama but there are plenty of areas that I was disappointed in during his time in office. This subsection of Bernie supporters can come as more against the GOP and against the DNC than for something. The politics of antagonizing others doesn’t work as well when you’re the party in charge.

Anyways, aside from the image problem, my main critique of Bernie (which isn’t much of a critique because he’s my #2, keep in mind) is that he’s less detailed on policies and I think less prepared for the presidency. If we do manage to secure majorities in each house of Congress and we win the presidency, we need to move from day 1 with multiple detailed bills ready to go to address the campaign promises he’s making. But I don’t get the vibe from the Bernie camp that his policies are designed, written, and ready to go on day one. And maybe he doesn’t have to be that prepared right now, but I’m a policy guy.

Caucus Power Rankings: #T-3 Andrew Yang

Hey all,

Here’s our next edition of the Caucus Power Rankings. As a reminder, here’s where we are right now:

  • T-3: Andrew Yang
  • T-3: Pete Buttigieg
  • T-5: Amy Klobuchar
  • T-5: Tom Steyer
  • 7: Joe Biden
  • 8: Michael Bennett
  • 9: Deval Patrick
  • T-10: Tulsi Gabbard
  • T-10: Mike Bloomberg
  • 12: John Delaney

Arguments For:

Josh — #3 — Be still my heart. For those who don’t know, I am a massive fan of the idea of a universal basic income. I discovered the idea my junior year of college, then I created a self-study class at St. Olaf to study it further. I gave a TED-style talk on it at the St. Olaf version of TED talks where I guessed that UBI could play a major role in politics in the next few elections, and I pursued a masters in Social Policy and Planning at the London School of Economics to dive deeper into this idea. I wrote my master’s thesis on a theoretical transition–and the political feasibility–in the UK from universal credit to universal basic income, which I later submitted to a journal and to the Basic Income Earth Network (BIEN) call for submissions in 2016 (you can slog through it here). My thesis’s main conclusion was that if UBI is to become a mainstream idea, then a major party in the UK needs to include it in their policy manifesto.

Two years later, in walks Andrew Yang. I am friends with a lot of people in the basic income community thanks to my attendance at the BIEN 2014 Congress, so I quickly heard about Yang’s long-shot campaign in the latter half of 2018. Core to his candidacy is the belief that we need a universal basic income (he brands it a freedom dividend because it polls better, lol) in the USA to combat technological automation and to prepare for 21st century challenges in the labor market. I actually wrote a piece about how I see parallels between Yang’s support of UBI and some thoughts from Oscar Wilde. I was thrilled to see someone running on the UBI platform, but then things started to turn. He got on a Freakonomics podcast and he took any media opportunity he could get. I remember seeing him post on Facebook that he was thrilled to finally make the list of candidates in a 538 poll back when there were 25ish candidates in the race. For a guy with no political experience and a background in tech and entrepreneurship, he was just happy to be included in actual polls around December 2018.

But then, something else happened — he connected with a small but significant base of voters: often young and male, they saw what Yang proposed as a new look at politics and a significant change from traditional Democratic and Republican ideas. Yang’s slogans, “Not left, not right, forward” and “MATH: Make America Think Harder” allowed him to court some of those disaffected voters who hate the back and forth between the two parties and he gave people the ability to imagine a world where everyone has an income floor, among many other never-before-considered policies like treating data as a property right, telling the NCAA to pay athletes, and to encourage MMA fighters’ unionization. He’s so far outside the bounds of normal politics that it has almost a Bernie 2016 vibe to his campaign, and it’s paying off. He is a candidate of the internet, and at 45 years old, he’s also one of the few candidates that I think truly understands the internet. His endorsements are also an incredible list of people: Elon Musk, Dave Chappelle, Donald Glover, and Antonio Bryant, to name a few.

At the CNN debate a few months ago, they had an entire ten to fifteen minute debate over a universal basic income versus a universal jobs guarantee. Without Yang in this race, there is no way such a debate would have come up, and as a result, Tulsi Gabbard endorsed the idea, and Elizabeth Warren suggested she was open to it provided the data and research backs it up (which it does). Yang has done America a massive favor by getting UBI out there. Support is growing in the public, too. A recent poll found that 66% of college democrats support UBI and according to a Hill-HarrisX poll, support is about 50/50 now across the public, improving 6 points in UBI’s favor from February 2019 to September 2019.

Aside from his signature policy, it’s worth noting that he is the last major candidate of color left, and he is also the first major Asian-American to run for President since Hiram Fong in 1964 (although it’s worth noting that Tulsi Gabbard and Kamala Harris also have Pacific Islander and Asian heritage as well). His general affect also brings people into his corner — his jovial, quirky performances in debates and his acknowledgement that only crazy people dream of running for president normalize Yang and you get the sense that he’s just enjoying every minute of this race. In the run-up to the caucus, he is going on a 17-day, 4 stops-per-day, bus tour in Iowa to get his message out. For a guy who was just happy to be included in a poll in late 2018, it’s truly remarkable that he is now the 6th or 7th  overall and that he has outlasted more traditional candidates like Jay Inslee and Kamala Harris.

Sam — #4 — So now that you’ve made it through Josh’s TED Talk deep dive on Andrew Yang’s Universal Basic Income policy of the Freedom Dividend, I guess you now see that you still have to read my thoughts on Andrew Yang. I’ll let you stretch and grab some coffee.

Back? Great! While I started my last piece noting that Mayor Pete was the dark horse candidate that emerge out of nowhere to become a serious contender, Andrew Yang may be on an even crazier ride national relevance. Beginning the race as a successful tech-CEO who just refused to wear a tie to any debate (or ever?), Yang was at very awkward at first, seeming to try and find his niche within the crowded primary field. His first calling card was to stick to the Freedom Dividend, the aforementioned UBI policy that promises a federally-guaranteed stipend to all Americans of $1000/month. At first blush this would seem like a crazy policy proposal to offer at this level. However, as Josh’s piece on Yang’s Freedom Dividend points out, the state of Alaska already has a UBI policy from oil revenue that grants $1200/year to every citizen of the state.

Yang then began to gain momentum through a base created strongly from young, college educated males with a strong internet presence. As Josh noted, his slogans of “Not left, not right, forward” and “MATH: Make America Think Harder” call for a new approach to politics and federal governance. This is both challenging Americans to take policy more seriously while simultaneously not taking ourselves so seriously. Wearing no tie on national television with a MATH lapel pin is a clear message that, frankly, resonates with a lot of Gen X and Millennial voters. Additionally, his policies are mostly progressive while also focusing on policies that rarely get air time in a national debate, such as paying college student athletes.

Yang has been more light-hearted than the rest of the field as well. He regularly lets any form of guard down, from admitting that he missed having his friend Cory Booker on the debate stage but predicted, rather joyfully, that Cory would be back! Maybe Yang knows something we don’t know. Yang is regularly cracking jokes in interviews and on the campaign trail. Yang’s policy positions and presence in this primary have been such a breath of fresh air and brought up a number of policies that never get the light of day nationally. We should all be grateful that Yang bet on himself when very few, including Josh and I initially, gave him much of a chance to get past the first debate. We’re better of with his success.

Arguments Against:

Josh — People don’t take him seriously. Because he’s on such a joyride through the campaign and he doesn’t pose much of a chance of actually winning, people aren’t really attacking him in debates and they aren’t threatened by him. This also shows itself in how the media has covered Yang’s campaign. The #YangMediaBlackout is real (and thoroughly documented by UBI legend Scott Santens on Twitter), as he spoke the least of any candidate on stage at every debate, and MSNBC frequently either omits him from graphics or in this case, genuinely shows a different Asian-American man’s photo instead of Yang’s photo. Now, I know this feels less like an argument against Yang than a plea for the media to cover him fairly, but I do count this as an argument against him. Nobody in establishment politics treats him as a serious candidate, and you have to wonder if the country feels the same way. Further, you do have to mention his dearth of political experience — he has never held elected office, which can be worrying, and he has zero foreign policy experience. And in this age where everyone is a pundit, few people fully believe that he can win the nomination, so they support other candidates instead. I’m guilty of that too — I put him third even though I think I agree with him on policy more than anyone else in the field. If we had ranked choice voting (another policy he supports) I’d be tempted to put him first.

Sam — In short, Yang is not being taken seriously outside of folks like Josh and I and his diehard supporters on Twitter. He hasn’t been seriously challenged since he is not expected to last much longer than New Hampshire, which leaves all serious voters from having a true test of Yang’s pros and cons. I do agree with Josh that the Yang Media Blackout is real and preventing his campaign from getting serious attention outside of debates. But on the other side of that coin, Yang also does not get attacked or forced to address the very tough policy and candidate profile questions. Yang’s resume just does not stand up to scrutiny for the office. Yang does not have experience in governing, let alone the public sector. Yang made it all the way to #4 for me because his campaign has been braking the mold, addressing difficult questions that society faces but regularly get looked over by Washington. And because I truly believe that more studies, research, and pilot programs for UBI need to begin to be given the time of day and considered as a truly viable option to address some of the greatest economic and fiscal challenges of our day.